Gold and Silver ETFs vs. The Physical market: Why the recent dip isn’t What it seems

Why Gold and Silver ETFs Fell Sharply on January 22, 2026, Even as Physical Prices Stayed Stable. Discover why market experts say this “flash drop” is a realignment, not a crash.


On January 22 2026 a lot of investors saw that their investment accounts had big losses. The Gold ETFs and the Silver ETFs that are traded on the NSE were going down fast and some of the Silver ETFs even fell by as much as 16.7%. This was a drop, for the Gold and Silver ETFs.

People started to panic.. When you take a closer look at the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) you see something weird. The actual price of gold and silver did not really change it went down than 1%. You might be thinking why your gold ETF went down 10% when the gold it is based on only went down 1%. You are not the one thinking this. This was not a problem with the market. It was just a technical problem, with how people felt about the gold and silver.

ETFs vs. The real World

To understand this gap we have to look at how Exchange Traded Funds operate. Exchange Traded Funds do not work like gold bars that are sitting in a vault. Exchange Traded Funds trade on the stock exchange like shares of a company.

This means Exchange Traded Funds are subject, to the way investors think and feel, which’s what people call “investor psychology”.The price of MCX Gold futures went down a little by 0.8%.. Axis Gold ETF went down a lot more by 8.7%.

The silver market was really different. Physical silver did not change much.. Tata Silver ETF went down a huge amount over 16%. MCX Gold futures and Axis Gold ETF had a difference, in how much they went down. The same thing happened with silver and Tata Silver ETF.

When people get really upset or excited they sell their ETF investments quickly. This happens faster than the gold that the ETF is connected to can be bought or sold. As a result the price of the ETF drops a lot lower than the value of the gold it is supposed to represent.

The ETF price and the gold value become separated for a while. This is a problem, for ETF investors who own gold ETFs. The gold that the ETF represents is still worth a lot. The ETF price is much lower.

The “Trump Effect” and easing tensions

The main reason for all the ups and downs was a change in global politics. For weeks people who deal with markets were really nervous because U.S. President Donald Trump wanted to buy Greenland, which made people worry that there would be problems between countries in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization or NATO, for short which is also known as the North Atlantic Treaty Organization.

I will just call it NATO.The news of a framework deal and the choice to back away from tariff threats really calmed the markets down. People buy gold and silver when they are worried about what’s going on. Gold and silver are things to invest in.

When people stopped being scared investors quickly sold their shares to make a profit. This caused the prices of gold and silver exchange traded funds to go back, to normal because they were too high.

Expert Take

Amar Ranu, who is the Head of Investment Products at Anand Rathi thinks that this drop actually made Exchange Traded Funds or ETFs similar to prices.

The thing is, ETFs had become really expensive more expensive than the gold they actually held.

Today the market just adjusted itself to the price that is what happened with the drop in ETFs the market is now right-sized, for ETFs.

Exchange Traded Funds often go high in bad times but then they come back, to what is really going on when things are calm.. Amar Ranu

Long-Term outlook

If you have gold or silver and you are keeping them for a time the basics of gold and silver which is the real world supply of gold and silver and the demand, for gold and silver still look very good.

Silver is really hard to come by these days. We have had four years in a row where we did not have silver to meet our needs. This is what people call a supply deficit. We have seen this happen for four years now which is a pretty big deal when it comes to silver.

We are running out of silver. The Chinese silver reserves are really low the lowest they have been in ten years. This means there is not a lot of silver available in the world. Chinese silver reserves are very important because they are a part of the global silver supply. So when Chinese silver reserves are low it affects the world. Chinese silver reserves are, at decade lows.

People at banks, like Commerzbank and HSBC think silver is going to do really well. Some people who try to figure out what will happen with silver think it will cost $95 for one ounce by the end of 2026. They really believe in silver. Think it will be very valuable. Silver is what they are talking about. They think silver will be worth a lot.

So what is the final answer to this question: should you sell something or not? The conclusion is that you have to think about it. You have to ask yourself if selling is the thing for you to do. Should you. Should you not sell? That is the question you have to answer for yourself.

So the conclusion is that you have to be careful when you are thinking about selling something. You have to make sure that selling is the thing for you to do. You have to think about the conclusion and what it means for you. Should you. Not? That is the question you have to answer.

In short: No. Today’s price action was a technical glitch of sentiment, not a loss of value in the precious metals themselves. For the disciplined investor, these sharp dips in ETFs are often a “correction of excess.”

Precious metals remain a vital hedge against uncertainty and a key component of green energy technology. Rather than a reason to panic, this consolidation phase might actually be the best time to rebalance your portfolio.

Stick to your long-term plan, avoid knee-jerk reactions, and remember that an ETF’s price on a screen doesn’t always reflect the true shine of the gold in the vault.

Also Read on jabalpur today: Sensex Falls Over 700 Points from Day’s High on January 22, 2026, Nifty Near 25,200: 3 Key Reasons Behind Market Decline

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